Route finder
In a mutually exclusive event exactly one outcome resolves Yes. So buying one Yes of every outcome always pays exactly $1, and buying one No of every outcome always pays exactly n−1. If a complete set costs less than it pays, that gap is the route.
Read the two edge columns before you trust either
Touch edge is computed from the best price on each leg, ignoring how little size sits there. It is the number mid-price screeners advertise, and it is usually fiction. Real edge sweeps actual ask depth across every leg and reports what you could fill right now. Both are gross of gas and fees, and a route with 40+ legs needs 40+ fills before any of it is locked in — the price moves while you are still filling.
No executable edge right now. That is the expected result — these sets are watched by bots and arbitraged within seconds. The near misses below show how close the book is sitting to the line.
Near misses — closest to the identity
| Event | Side | Legs | Set cost | Pays | Touch edge | Real edge | Fillable | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC$2.0M liq | buy NO | 3 | $2.0000 | $2.00 | +0.00% | +0.000% | — | — |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms$1.4M liq | buy NO | 5 | $4.0160 | $4.00 | -0.40% | -0.398% | — | — |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?$4.0M liq | buy YES | 13 | $1.0090 | $1.00 | -0.89% | -0.892% | — | — |
| Fed Decision in September?$11.5M liq | buy YES | 5 | $1.0120 | $1.00 | -1.19% | -1.186% | — | — |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms$1.4M liq | buy YES | 5 | $1.0180 | $1.00 | -1.77% | -1.768% | — | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC$2.0M liq | buy YES | 3 | $1.0300 | $1.00 | -2.91% | -2.913% | — | — |