Yes25%
$1.7M 24h$1.1M liq5mo
Markets
Live from Polymarket. Prices are probabilities — 62% means the market pays $1 if it happens and costs $0.62 now.
August 3156%
August 1445%
July 3121%
July 180%
+1 more outcomes
$1.6M 24h$265K liq1mo
July 18100%
July 20100%
July 22100%
July 25100%
+12 more outcomes
$841K 24h$589K liq1mo
July 3179%
June 300%
$707K 24h$46K liqtomorrow
Yes0%
$636K 24h$901K liqtoday
August 317%
August 151%
$475K 24h$1.1M liq1mo
Mojtaba Khamenei79%
No Head of State7%
Alireza Arafi4%
Reza Pahlavi3%
+119 more outcomes
$462K 24h$2.0M liq5monegRisk
December 3113%
September 308%
August 315%
July 310%
+6 more outcomes
$444K 24h$817K liqended
Yes14%
$236K 24h$189K liq1.4y
December 3130%
September 3011%
August 313%
August 182%
+3 more outcomes
$217K 24h$1.7M liq1mo
December 3186%
October 3180%
September 3069%
August 3139%
+5 more outcomes
$181K 24h$336K liq1mo
December 3126%
October 3117%
August 319%
December 31, 20250%
+2 more outcomes
$176K 24h$134K liq5mo
December 3122%
September 3016%
August 317%
July 310%
+6 more outcomes
$127K 24h$414K liqended
December 319%
September 305%
August 313%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? 0%
+4 more outcomes
$116K 24h$394K liq5mo
June 30, 202730%
December 3122%
September 3010%
August 314%
+6 more outcomes
$115K 24h$401K liq5mo
August 3129%
August 1516%
July 312%
May 80%
+14 more outcomes
$99K 24h$160K liqended
Gadi Eizenkot52%
Benjamin Netanyahu35%
Naftali Bennett7%
Avigdor Lieberman4%
+24 more outcomes
$92K 24h$2.4M liq5monegRisk
July 9100%
July 12100%
July 14100%
July 17100%
+19 more outcomes
$89K 24h$20K liqtomorrow
August 3136%
August 1519%
August 76%
July 311%
+4 more outcomes
$88K 24h$254K liqtomorrow
Yes19%
$82K 24h$193K liq2mo
September 309%
August 316%
$82K 24h$52K liq2mo
June 30, 202716%
December 31, 20269%
September 30, 20263%
August 31, 20261%
+1 more outcomes
$79K 24h$1.2M liq11mo
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?100%
30+2%
50+0%
60+0%
+3 more outcomes
$77K 24h$309K liqtomorrow
Yes9%
$69K 24h$61K liq5mo