Yes26%
$1.6M 24h$1.0M liq5mo
Markets
Live from Polymarket. Prices are probabilities — 62% means the market pays $1 if it happens and costs $0.62 now.
August 3155%
August 1447%
July 3122%
July 180%
+1 more outcomes
$1.5M 24h$281K liq1mo
July 18100%
July 20100%
July 22100%
July 25100%
+12 more outcomes
$804K 24h$567K liq1mo
Yes0%
$761K 24h$874K liqtoday
July 3182%
June 300%
$712K 24h$47K liqtomorrow
August 317%
August 151%
$480K 24h$1.1M liq1mo
Mojtaba Khamenei79%
No Head of State7%
Alireza Arafi4%
Reza Pahlavi3%
+119 more outcomes
$456K 24h$1.9M liq5monegRisk
December 3113%
September 308%
August 315%
July 310%
+6 more outcomes
$446K 24h$802K liqended
Yes14%
$236K 24h$188K liq1.4y
December 3130%
September 3011%
August 314%
August 183%
+3 more outcomes
$217K 24h$1.6M liq1mo
December 3185%
October 3180%
September 3069%
August 3139%
+5 more outcomes
$183K 24h$333K liq1mo
December 3126%
October 3118%
August 3111%
December 31, 20250%
+2 more outcomes
$171K 24h$129K liq5mo
December 3122%
September 3016%
August 317%
July 310%
+6 more outcomes
$128K 24h$407K liqended
June 30, 202730%
December 3122%
September 3010%
August 314%
+6 more outcomes
$120K 24h$399K liq5mo
December 319%
September 305%
August 313%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? 0%
+4 more outcomes
$116K 24h$381K liq5mo
August 3130%
August 1517%
July 312%
May 80%
+14 more outcomes
$105K 24h$161K liqended
July 9100%
July 12100%
July 14100%
July 17100%
+19 more outcomes
$104K 24h$23K liqtomorrow
Gadi Eizenkot53%
Benjamin Netanyahu35%
Naftali Bennett7%
Avigdor Lieberman4%
+24 more outcomes
$93K 24h$2.4M liq5monegRisk
August 3135%
August 1519%
August 76%
July 311%
+4 more outcomes
$88K 24h$243K liqtomorrow
June 30, 202716%
December 31, 20269%
September 30, 20263%
August 31, 20261%
+1 more outcomes
$84K 24h$1.2M liq11mo
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?100%
30+2%
50+0%
60+0%
+3 more outcomes
$80K 24h$307K liqtomorrow
September 306%
August 314%
$74K 24h$62K liq2mo
December 3113%
September 305%
May 310%
June 300%
+3 more outcomes
$67K 24h$6K liq5mo
Yes9%
$67K 24h$58K liq5mo