25 bps increase80%
No change20%
50+ bps increase1%
25 bps decrease0%
+1 more outcomes
$6.9M 24h$12.2M liq2dnegRisk
Markets
Live from Polymarket. Prices are probabilities — 62% means the market pays $1 if it happens and costs $0.62 now.
Magdalena Andersson90%
Ulf Kristersson10%
Jimmie Åkesson0%
Ebba Busch0%
+32 more outcomes
$1.5M 24h$1.1M liqendednegRisk
Yes28%
$831K 24h$337K liq4mo
JD Vance24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
Jon Ossoff12%
Marco Rubio11%
+124 more outcomes
$535K 24h$61.0M liq2.2ynegRisk
June 30, 202713%
December 31, 20267%
September 30, 20261%
July 31, 20260%
+1 more outcomes
$462K 24h$1.0M liq10mo
160-17949%
180-19932%
200-21910%
140-1598%
+22 more outcomes
$436K 24h$514K liq2dnegRisk
United Russia (ER)80%
New People (NL)16%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%
+30 more outcomes
$338K 24h$2.5M liq6dnegRisk
40-6486%
65-8913%
90-1140%
115-1390%
+6 more outcomes
$336K 24h$122K liqtomorrownegRisk
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)100%
Sweden Democrats (SD)0%
Moderate Party (M)0%
Centre Party (C)0%
+32 more outcomes
$331K 24h$524K liqendednegRisk
J.D. Vance51%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?49%
Marco Rubio17%
Tucker Carlson4%
+124 more outcomes
$321K 24h$53.0M liq2.2ynegRisk
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
Jon Ossoff16%
Gavin Newsom13%
Kamala Harris8%
+124 more outcomes
$287K 24h$77.7M liq2.2ynegRisk
Moderate Party (M)100%
Sweden Democrats (SD)0%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)0%
Centre Party (C)0%
+32 more outcomes
$278K 24h$242K liqendednegRisk
Yes0%
$269K 24h$956K liqtomorrow
Marine Le Pen35%
Édouard Philippe28%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%
David Lisnard8%
+124 more outcomes
$267K 24h$16.4M liq8monegRisk
Democrats Sweep53%
R Senate, D House33%
Republicans Sweep13%
D Senate, R House1%
+1 more outcomes
$267K 24h$1.4M liq2monegRisk
Flávio Bolsonaro52%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva47%
Renan Santos2%
Augusto Cury0%
+28 more outcomes
$201K 24h$17.3M liq20dnegRisk
December 3160%
October 3131%
September 3013%
September 216%
+16 more outcomes
$189K 24h$517K liq4mo
180-19924%
160-17920%
200-21920%
220-23913%
+22 more outcomes
$161K 24h$301K liq5dnegRisk
Yes5%
$160K 24h$522K liq4mo
James Talarico (D)50%
Ken Paxton (R)50%
+11 more outcomes
$153K 24h$209K liq2monegRisk
September 1895%
September 3094%
September 792%
September 492%
+1 more outcomes
$150K 24h$126K liq17d
Democratic67%
Republican33%
+13 more outcomes
$101K 24h$625K liq2.2ynegRisk
Yes18%
$100K 24h$522K liq4mo
September 3097%
May 80%
May 310%
June 300%
+15 more outcomes
$99K 24h$125K liq17d