PolyTracker

Markets

Live from Polymarket. Prices are probabilities — 62% means the market pays $1 if it happens and costs $0.62 now.

25 bps increase53%
No change45%
25 bps decrease3%
50+ bps increase1%

+1 more outcomes

$3.1M 24h$1.3M liq2monegRisk
Mojtaba Khamenei79%
No Head of State7%
Alireza Arafi4%
Reza Pahlavi3%

+119 more outcomes

$462K 24h$2.0M liq5monegRisk
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?49%
J.D. Vance43%
Marco Rubio28%
Ron DeSantis3%

+124 more outcomes

$134K 24h$56.2M liq2.3ynegRisk