Scott Wiener60%
Candidate A50%
Candidate B50%
Candidate C50%
+2 more outcomes
$423 24h$3K liq3monegRisk
Markets
Live from Polymarket. Prices are probabilities — 62% means the market pays $1 if it happens and costs $0.62 now.
December 3139%
September 309%
July 300%
$420 24h$9K liq5mo
Bola Tinubu69%
Candidate A50%
Candidate B50%
Candidate C50%
+18 more outcomes
$417 24h$53K liq6monegRisk
Shannon Taylor96%
Candidate A50%
Candidate B50%
Candidate C50%
+9 more outcomes
$416 24h$56K liq4dnegRisk
Increase86%
No Change13%
Decrease0%
$416 24h$18K liq1monegRisk
July 315%
May 310%
June 300%
$410 24h$194 liqended
47–49 and 193–20720%
50–52 and 208–22213%
50–52 and 193–20711%
47–49 and ≤1929%
+9 more outcomes
$410 24h$142K liq3monegRisk
Yes3%
$407 24h$31K liq5mo
August 3196%
July 310%
$404 24h$16K liq1mo
September 307%
May 310%
July 310%
December 310%
+3 more outcomes
$398 24h$2K liq2mo
August 31, 20266%
June 30, 20260%
$388 24h$8K liq1mo
GlobalFoundries82%
D-Wave77%
Rigetti68%
Unusual Machines47%
+16 more outcomes
$383 24h$9K liq5mo
Yes41%
$375 24h$7K liq5mo
Person A50%
Person B50%
Person C50%
Person D50%
+25 more outcomes
$375 24h$178 liq3monegRisk
December 3124%
June 300%
March 310%
$374 24h$31K liqended
Democrat86%
Republican16%
+11 more outcomes
$371 24h$31K liq3monegRisk
263%
341%
10%
00%
+2 more outcomes
$367 24h$34K liqnegRisk
Republican92%
Democrat9%
+11 more outcomes
$366 24h$34K liq3monegRisk
July 28100%
July 29100%
July 30100%
July 31100%
+2 more outcomes
$366 24h$140 liqtomorrow
Farage 60%+48%
Farage 40-60%35%
Farage 20-40%8%
Farage <20%8%
+2 more outcomes
$363 24h$101K liq13dnegRisk
60+41%
No prison time35%
40–6012%
<207%
+1 more outcomes
$361 24h$60K liq1.4ynegRisk
Democratic Party94%
Republican Party4%
+6 more outcomes
$357 24h$36K liq3monegRisk
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?52%
September 3023%
May 310%
November 300%
+3 more outcomes
$356 24h$4K liqended
Hong 30%+64%
Other50%
Hong 5–10%13%
Hong 25–30%12%
+6 more outcomes
$354 24h$40K liq11dnegRisk