1-3 hours33%
3-6 hours32%
6-12 hours25%
12+ hours8%
+1 more outcomes
$5K 24h$9K liq17dnegRisk
Markets
Live from Polymarket. Prices are probabilities — 62% means the market pays $1 if it happens and costs $0.62 now.
Warner Bros. Discovery100%
iRobot100%
Pizza Hut100%
Caesars Entertainment100%
+15 more outcomes
$5K 24h$93K liq4mo
Anthropic84%
Company A50%
Company B50%
Company C50%
+28 more outcomes
$4K 24h$381K liq2monegRisk
Google71%
Company A50%
Company B50%
Company C50%
+28 more outcomes
$4K 24h$26K liq17dnegRisk
1470+41%
1480+27%
1490+13%
1500+12%
+1 more outcomes
$4K 24h$14K liq4mo
December 3185%
October 3180%
September 3022%
August 310%
$4K 24h$4K liq4mo
Yes22%
$4K 24h$4K liq4mo
claude-fable-5.1-max94%
Other2%
claude-opus-5-max1%
claude-opus-5-high0%
+1 more outcomes
$4K 24h$7K liqtomorrownegRisk
Erling Braut Haaland81%
Alysa Liu59%
Anthony Joshua38%
Lamine Yamal37%
+8 more outcomes
$4K 24h$8K liq4mo
45%+79%
50%+49%
55%+34%
60%+13%
+1 more outcomes
$4K 24h$6K liq4mo
Alphabet93%
Company B50%
Company C50%
Company D50%
+25 more outcomes
$3K 24h$183K liq17dnegRisk
1480+92%
1490+81%
1495+71%
1500+34%
+1 more outcomes
$3K 24h$7K liq
OpenAI99%
Will AI lab F have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?50%
Will AI lab G have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?50%
Will any other AI lab have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?50%
+11 more outcomes
$3K 24h$8K liq2dnegRisk
Yes16%
$3K 24h$3K liq4mo
December 31, 202752%
June 30, 202734%
February 28, 202727%
January 31, 202722%
+3 more outcomes
$3K 24h$69K liq1.3y
Anthropic70%
OpenAI13%
Google10%
xAI4%
+22 more outcomes
$3K 24h$943K liq4monegRisk
DeepSeek99%
Will AI lab F have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?50%
Will AI lab G have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?50%
Will any other AI lab have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?50%
+11 more outcomes
$3K 24h$10K liq2dnegRisk
1525100%
1550100%
157554%
160010%
$3K 24h$5K liq4mo
Shadowrocket92%
App A50%
App B50%
App C50%
+9 more outcomes
$3K 24h$5K liq5dnegRisk
OpenAI76%
Other50%
Company A50%
Company B50%
+24 more outcomes
$3K 24h$11K liq2monegRisk
60%+56%
65%+28%
70%+15%
75%+11%
+2 more outcomes
$3K 24h$16K liq4mo
October 3199%
December 3198%
September 3081%
August 310%
$2K 24h$13K liq4mo
Odd Perfect Number54%
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem53%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer49%
Hodge Conjecture37%
+10 more outcomes
$2K 24h$11K liq4mo
Google69%
Company A50%
Company B50%
Company C50%
+28 more outcomes
$2K 24h$36K liq17dnegRisk