No change87%
25 bps increase12%
50+ bps increase1%
50+ bps decrease0%
+1 more outcomes
$883 24h$11K liq2monegRisk
Markets
Live from Polymarket. Prices are probabilities — 62% means the market pays $1 if it happens and costs $0.62 now.
4.3-4.6%54%
4.6-4.9%31%
4.0-4.3%18%
3.7-4.0%1%
+5 more outcomes
$873 24h$12K liq1monegRisk
0.4%34%
0.5%34%
0.6%14%
0.7%6%
+5 more outcomes
$872 24h$10K liq1monegRisk
25 bps increase47%
No change45%
50+ bps decrease0%
25 bps decrease0%
+1 more outcomes
$833 24h$13K liq2monegRisk
0.6 – 1.0%57%
0.1 – 0.5%21%
1.1 – 1.5%18%
1.6 – 2.0%4%
+5 more outcomes
$742 24h$9K liq4monegRisk
No Change74%
25 bps increase26%
25 bps decrease1%
50+ bps increase0%
+1 more outcomes
$696 24h$12K liq1monegRisk
4.70%100%
4.75%100%
4.80%94%
4.85%92%
+5 more outcomes
$692 24h$6K liq4mo
54.0 to 54.947%
57.0 to 57.919%
56.0 to 56.914%
53.0 to 53.914%
+6 more outcomes
$673 24h$3K liq21dnegRisk
No Change64%
25 bps increase34%
50+ bps increase4%
25 bps decrease3%
+1 more outcomes
$657 24h$5K liq3monegRisk
0.3%59%
0.2%38%
0.4%2%
0.1%1%
+3 more outcomes
$625 24h$4K liq16dnegRisk
Yes78%
$623 24h$389 liq4mo
No Change76%
Decrease26%
Increase0%
$605 24h$7K liq1monegRisk
Tim Cook - Apple100%
Sundar Pichai - Google7%
Andy Jassy - Amazon7%
Sam Altman - OpenAI7%
+2 more outcomes
$593 24h$6K liq4mo
5.0%10%
6.0%7%
5.5%6%
7.0%5%
+1 more outcomes
$559 24h$13K liq5mo
No change71%
25 bps increase30%
50+ bps decrease0%
25 bps decrease0%
+1 more outcomes
$542 24h$12K liq2monegRisk
Below 4.76%21%
Below 4.73%14%
Below 4.70%9%
Below 4.67%7%
+5 more outcomes
$536 24h$17K liq16d
25 bps increase89%
50+ bps increase5%
No change4%
50+ bps decrease1%
+1 more outcomes
$530 24h$9K liq16dnegRisk
$340K - $345K37%
$335K - $340K36%
$330K - $335K11%
$345K+9%
+3 more outcomes
$491 24h$5K liq16dnegRisk
Rigetti98%
D-Wave96%
GlobalFoundries96%
Unusual Machines28%
+16 more outcomes
$407 24h$9K liq4mo
↑ 6.75%100%
↑ 6.50%100%
↑ 6.30%100%
↑ 6.20%100%
+10 more outcomes
$385 24h$5K liq4mo
Hike–Pause–Hike26%
Hike–Pause–Pause20%
Hike–Hike–Hike17%
Hike–Hike–Pause16%
+5 more outcomes
$380 24h$95K liq3monegRisk
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)60%
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)36%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)0%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)0%
$368 24h$5K liq5monegRisk
No change69%
50+ bps increase20%
25 bps increase12%
25 bps decrease1%
+1 more outcomes
$367 24h$7K liq16dnegRisk
3.2%33%
3.3%30%
3.4%19%
3.1%16%
+3 more outcomes
$320 24h$5K liq16dnegRisk