No change57%
25 bps increase23%
25 bps decrease14%
50+ bps decrease5%
+1 more outcomes
$314 24h$240K liq5monegRisk
Markets
Live from Polymarket. Prices are probabilities — 62% means the market pays $1 if it happens and costs $0.62 now.
25 bps decrease98%
No Change2%
50+ bps increase1%
50+ bps decrease0%
+1 more outcomes
$311 24h$15K liqtomorrownegRisk
BMO4%
KeyBank4%
RBC3%
Truist3%
+15 more outcomes
$300 24h$32K liq4mo
50k to 100k28%
0 to 50k19%
150k to 200k15%
100k to 150k13%
+3 more outcomes
$250 24h$18K liq19dnegRisk
1600.00+60%
1550.00–1599.9917%
1500.00–1549.9914%
1350.00–1399.996%
+5 more outcomes
$249 24h$3K liq4monegRisk
Yes12%
$241 24h$1K liq17d
53.0 to 53.921%
54.0 to 54.921%
55.0 to 55.921%
56.0 to 56.918%
+6 more outcomes
$239 24h$2K liq17dnegRisk
Yes2%
$186 24h$20K liq4mo
Above 3%100%
Above 4%100%
Above 3.5%100%
Above 4.5%13%
+4 more outcomes
$176 24h$48K liq4mo
2.4%42%
2.5%23%
2.3%21%
2.2%7%
+6 more outcomes
$175 24h$8K liq1monegRisk
4.58%100%
4.61%100%
4.64%100%
4.67%100%
+5 more outcomes
$173 24h$1K liq16d
4.1%33%
4.2%32%
4.0%17%
4.3%12%
+5 more outcomes
$159 24h$14K liq18dnegRisk
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)61%
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)36%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)0%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)0%
$151 24h$4K liq5monegRisk
Yes13%
$149 24h$457 liq4mo
Yes5%
$140 24h$16K liq4mo
Below 4.50%46%
Below 4.45%38%
Below 4.35%34%
Below 4.40%34%
+5 more outcomes
$117 24h$7K liq4mo
Yes3%
$116 24h$2K liq4mo
Yes40%
$115 24h$974 liq4mo
Other85%
Pause–Pause–Pause13%
Pause–Pause–Cut2%
Pause–Cut–Cut1%
+5 more outcomes
$113 24h$203K liq2monegRisk
0.9% to 1.0%37%
0.7% to 0.8%28%
1.1%+26%
0.5% to 0.6%22%
+1 more outcomes
$111 24h$3K liq1monegRisk
30.0-34.9%50%
25-29.9%45%
<20%2%
35–39.9%2%
+3 more outcomes
$94 24h$11K liq4monegRisk
Alphabet51%
Company A50%
Company B50%
Company C50%
+26 more outcomes
$92 24h$82K liq4monegRisk
No Change81%
25 bps hike15%
50+ bps hike3%
25 bps cut1%
+1 more outcomes
$91 24h$2K liq1monegRisk
$1.137M - $1.153M34%
$1.153M - $1.169M26%
<$1.137M20%
$1.169M - $1.185M18%
+3 more outcomes
$90 24h$4K liq16dnegRisk